Bitcoin price & range forecast BTC / USD

$77,919+1.49% 24h

as of 23:30 UTC

Next hour · by 00:30 UTC

$77,623 – $78,217

90% likely · typical move ±$297i

Conditions Normal i Markets about as active as usual; ranges are their typical width.
Live since Oct 28 · model v2 (HAR-RV-J)
Collecting live data day 7 of 14· Backtest, Jun–Oct 2026: 1-hour range held 89.7%i
How often were we right? →

Forecasts made 1 hour earlier, drawn at the time they refer to. i

Outlook

Hit rate: backtest, Jun–Oct 2026 · collecting live data

In	90% range	50% range	Hit rate i
1 hour 00:30 UTC	$77,623 – $78,217	$77,804 – $78,035	90% backtest
4 hours 03:30 UTC	$77,153 – $78,693	$77,644 – $78,196	90% backtest
24 hours Nov 4, 23:30 UTC	$75,799 – $80,100	$77,046 – $78,803	89% backtest

Price level (USD)

30% chance Bitcoin is above $78,000 at 00:30 UTC

Below 70% Above 30%

90% range in 1 hour: $77,623 – $78,217. i

Expecting more movement

±2.1% a day is what options are pricing in

0%50%

Options are pricing in more movement than Bitcoin has shown lately (+6.7 points). Traders expect it to get busier, or are paying up for protection.

next 7 days