Bitcoin price & range forecast BTC / USD

$77,071−2.27% 24h

as of 23:20 UTC

Next hour · by 00:15 UTC

$76,653 – $77,529

90% likely · typical move ±$438i

Conditions Normal i Markets about as active as usual; ranges are their typical width.
Live since Oct 28 · model v2 (HAR-RV-J)
Collecting live data day 3 of 14· Backtest, Jun–Oct 2026: 1-hour range held 89.7%i
How often were we right? →

Forecasts made 1 hour earlier, drawn at the time they refer to. i

Outlook

Hit rate: backtest, Jun–Oct 2026 · collecting live data

In	90% range	50% range	Hit rate i
1 hour 00:15 UTC	$76,653 – $77,529	$76,924 – $77,256	90% backtest
4 hours 03:15 UTC	$76,301 – $77,887	$76,823 – $77,358	90% backtest
24 hours Oct 31, 23:15 UTC	$75,762 – $78,441	$76,586 – $77,597	89% backtest

Price level (USD)

5% chance Bitcoin is above $77,500 at 00:20 UTC

Below 95% Above 5%

90% range in 1 hour: $76,634 – $77,510. i

Expecting more movement

±2.1% a day is what options are pricing in

0%70%

Options are pricing in more movement than Bitcoin has shown lately (+7.2 points). Traders expect it to get busier, or are paying up for protection.

next 7 days