Bitcoin price & range forecast BTC / USD
$76,147+0.02% 24h
as of 09:29 UTC
- Conditions Calm i Markets calmer than usual; ranges are narrower.
- Live since Oct 28 · model v2 (HAR-RV-J)
- Collecting live data day 10 of 14· Backtest, Jun–Oct 2026: 1-hour range held 89.7%i
- How often were we right? →
Forecasts made 1 hour earlier, drawn at the time they refer to. i
Outlook
| In | 90% range | Hit rate i |
|---|---|---|
1 hour
10:25 UTC |
$75,953 – $76,327 | 90%
backtest |
4 hours
13:25 UTC |
$75,573 – $76,711 | 90%
backtest |
24 hours
Nov 8, 09:25 UTC |
$74,504 – $77,811 | 89%
backtest |
Probability calculator
In
1%
chance Bitcoin is above $76,500
at 10:25 UTC
Below 99%
Above 1%
90% range in 1 hour: $75,953 – $76,327. i
Expected vs actual volatility i
In line±2.0%
a day is what options are pricing in
0%50%
- Implied, next 30 days
- 39.1% ▼ from 41% a week ago
- Realised, last 30 days
- 35.1%
- Realised, last 24 hours
- 34.7%
Options are pricing in about as much movement as Bitcoin has shown lately (+4.1 points).
Scheduled releases iLearn more
- US inflation (CPI) Nov 10, 13:30 UTC · in 3 days
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